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Henry Kissinger- The Assembly of a New World Order

pennyforyourthoughts2 - 7 hours 31 min ago
Just published today by WSJ
The concept that has underpinned the modern geopolitical era is in crisis Henry Kissinger
Libya is in civil war, fundamentalist armies are building a self-declared caliphate across Syria and Iraq and Afghanistan's young democracy is on the verge of paralysis. To these troubles are added a resurgence of tensions with Russia and a relationship with China divided between pledges of cooperation and public recrimination. The concept of order that has underpinned the modern era is in crisis.Our world as a rubiks cube? How very arrogant of the powers that shouldn't be to represent our planet in this manner

The search for world order has long been defined almost exclusively by the concepts of Western societies. In the decades following World War II, the U.S.—strengthened in its economy and national confidence—began to take up the torch of international leadership and added a new dimension. A nation founded explicitly on an idea of free and representative governance, the U.S. identified its own rise with the spread of liberty and democracy and credited these forces with an ability to achieve just and lasting peace. The traditional European approach to order had viewed peoples and states as inherently competitive; to constrain the effects of their clashing ambitions, it relied on a balance of power and a concert of enlightened statesmen. The prevalent American view considered people inherently reasonable and inclined toward peaceful compromise and common sense; the spread of democracy was therefore the overarching goal for international order. Free markets would uplift individuals, enrich societies and substitute economic interdependence for traditional international rivalries.This effort to establish world order has in many ways come to fruition. A plethora of independent sovereign states govern most of the world's territory. The spread of democracy and participatory governance has become a shared aspiration if not a universal reality; global communications and financial networks operate in real time.

The years from perhaps 1948 to the turn of the century marked a brief moment in human history when one could speak of an incipient global world order composed of an amalgam of American idealism and traditional European concepts of statehood and balance of power. But vast regions of the world have never shared and only acquiesced in the Western concept of order. These reservations are now becoming explicit, for example, in the Ukraine crisis and the South China Sea. The order established and proclaimed by the West stands at a turning point.First, the nature of the state itself—the basic formal unit of international life—has been subjected to a multitude of pressures. Europe has set out to transcend the state and craft a foreign policy based primarily on the principles of soft power. But it is doubtful that claims to legitimacy separated from a concept of strategy can sustain a world order. And Europe has not yet given itself attributes of statehood, tempting a vacuum of authority internally and an imbalance of power along its borders. At the same time, parts of the Middle East have dissolved into sectarian and ethnic components in conflict with each other; religious militias and the powers backing them violate borders and sovereignty at will, producing the phenomenon of failed states not controlling their own territory.

The challenge in Asia is the opposite of Europe's: Balance-of-power principles prevail unrelated to an agreed concept of legitimacy, driving some disagreements to the edge of confrontation.

The clash between the international economy and the political institutions that ostensibly govern it also weakens the sense of common purpose necessary for world order. The economic system has become global, while the political structure of the world remains based on the nation-state. Economic globalization, in its essence, ignores national frontiers. Foreign policy affirms them, even as it seeks to reconcile conflicting national aims or ideals of world order.

This dynamic has produced decades of sustained economic growth punctuated by periodic financial crises of seemingly escalating intensity: in Latin America in the 1980s; in Asia in 1997; in Russia in 1998; in the U.S. in 2001 and again starting in 2007; in Europe after 2010. The winners have few reservations about the system. But the losers—such as those stuck in structural misdesigns, as has been the case with the European Union's southern tier—seek their remedies by solutions that negate, or at least obstruct, the functioning of the global economic system.

The international order thus faces a paradox: Its prosperity is dependent on the success of globalization, but the process produces a political reaction that often works counter to its aspirations.

A third failing of the current world order, such as it exists, is the absence of an effective mechanism for the great powers to consult and possibly cooperate on the most consequential issues. This may seem an odd criticism in light of the many multilateral forums that exist—more by far than at any other time in history. Yet the nature and frequency of these meetings work against the elaboration of long-range strategy. This process permits little beyond, at best, a discussion of pending tactical issues and, at worst, a new form of summitry as "social media" event. A contemporary structure of international rules and norms, if it is to prove relevant, cannot merely be affirmed by joint declarations; it must be fostered as a matter of common conviction.

The penalty for failing will be not so much a major war between states (though in some regions this remains possible) as an evolution into spheres of influence identified with particular domestic structures and forms of governance. At its edges, each sphere would be tempted to test its strength against other entities deemed illegitimate. A struggle between regions could be even more debilitating than the struggle between nations has been.

The contemporary quest for world order will require a coherent strategy to establish a concept of order within the various regions and to relate these regional orders to one another. These goals are not necessarily self-reconciling: The triumph of a radical movement might bring order to one region while setting the stage for turmoil in and with all others. The domination of a region by one country militarily, even if it brings the appearance of order, could produce a crisis for the rest of the world.

A world order of states affirming individual dignity and participatory governance, and cooperating internationally in accordance with agreed-upon rules, can be our hope and should be our inspiration. But progress toward it will need to be sustained through a series of intermediary stages.

To play a responsible role in the evolution of a 21st-century world order, the U.S. must be prepared to answer a number of questions for itself: What do we seek to prevent, no matter how it happens, and if necessary alone? What do we seek to achieve, even if not supported by any multilateral effort? What do we seek to achieve, or prevent, only if supported by an alliance? What should we not engage in, even if urged on by a multilateral group or an alliance? What is the nature of the values that we seek to advance? And how much does the application of these values depend on circumstance?

For the U.S., this will require thinking on two seemingly contradictory levels. The celebration of universal principles needs to be paired with recognition of the reality of other regions' histories, cultures and views of their security. Even as the lessons of challenging decades are examined, the affirmation of America's exceptional nature must be sustained. History offers no respite to countries that set aside their sense of identity in favor of a seemingly less arduous course. But nor does it assure success for the most elevated convictions in the absence of a comprehensive geopolitical strategy.

—Dr. Kissinger served as national security adviser and secretary of state under Presidents Nixon and Ford. Adapted from his book "World Order," to be published Sept. 9 by the Penguin Press.
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August 29th 15:35 UTC/ZULU Ukrainian SITREP

THE VINEYARD OF THE SAKER - 8 hours 34 min ago
The Ukrainian civil war has reached a turning point and a lot of separate facts point to this conclusion:

Military situation on the ground

The Ukies are losing, badly.  All the reports from Novorussian sources agree that the Ukie forces are either surrounded or in full retreat.  But Ukies sources also confirm this.  In Kiev, angry demonstrations by nationalists accuse the military high command of minimizing the real casualty figures, of having abandoned the forces fighting in the Donbass.  Even Oleg Liashko has stated that the Ukie forces have been "betrayed".  Demonstrations have taken place in from of the Ukie General Staff which many Right Sector protesters which are demanding the creation of a "generals battalion" which would be formed of only generals who would be sent to fight personally (an excellent idea, which I fully approve of!).  Others are also demanding the resignation of the Ukie Minister of Defense.  Ukrainian woman are regularly stopping military convoys on the roads, often by standing or lying down in front of trucks, to prevent their men from being sent to death.  Entire Ukie battalions are deserting from the front and Special Forces are sent to stop them.  Apparently, the Ukie police is afraid to arrest the soldiers for desertion because of their large numbers.  The city of Mariupol is now surrounded and the local political elites and SBU personnel have fled.  Poroshenko cancelled his trip to Turkey and gathered his Security Council.  Kolomoiski, who controls the southwestern Ukraine, did the same thing with his own Security Council (yes, since he has his own army, is also has his own security council).  Tymoshenko wants the introduction of full martial law.  The male population up to 60 is now conscripted (though not called up as far as I know).  Iatseniuk and Poroshenko have both demanded that NATO intervene and accept the Ukraine as some special ally.  In other words, all the signs are of total complete and utter panic in Kiev.

Political situation

Russia: Putin met with Poroshenko and the EU leaders and delivered them a very simple yet stark message: "don't talk to us, we are not a party to the conflict - talk to the Novorussians".  By the way, the Kremlin now openly speaks of "Novorussian" and "Novorussian forces".  Furthermore, the Russians are also officially sending in a second aid convoy and they have announced that this will not be the only one.  In the UN Security Council the Russian Representative, Vitalii Churkin, has dared the Ukie Rep to explain where the recording of the conversations between the Kiev ATC and MH17 were hidden and why.  With the Fall rapidly arriving, the EU has pushed Kiev to renew gas negotiations which the Russians have declared "deadlocked".  By all accounts, the "Voentorg" (a Russian contraction meaning "Military Trade", which was the name for the Soviet era building were military gear could be purchased) between Russia and Novorussia has further increased and the Novorussian are now getting more men, including specialists, and more equipment.

Contrary to the predictions of the Putin bashing crowd, the replacement of Strelkov by Zakharchenko was not followed by any "sellout" of Novorussia.  Quite to the contrary, as soon as Zakharchenko took power the Novorussians went on a general offensive.  As for Strelkov himself, he is apparently in good health and is supposed to make a public appearance today in Crimea.  So all that talk about Putin backstabbing Novorussia, him having some kind of deal with Obama, about Strelkov having been eliminated by Putin's Spetsnaz and all the rest of the doom and gloom propaganda of the Putin haters has now clearly shown to be absolute rubbish.  Clearly, some Putin bashers are paid by Russian oligarchs, others are just to dull to understand the sophisticated policy of the Kremlin in the Ukraine.  Whatever may be the case, these shrills are now completely discredited by fact and forced to walk away in shame.

Putin's latest move is nothing short of brilliant.  Think of it: the mothers and wives of Ukie servicemen are demanding that their men be returned to them, the regime in Kiev ignores them, and Putin steps in to agree with them and asks the Novorussians to open humanitarian corridors to allow them to safely leave and go back home.  Thus, he shows more concern for the Ukies than the Ukie regime, he encourages the desertion of Ukie soliders, he minimizes the casualties on all sides, and he deals another death-blow to Ukie morale.  Best of all, he achieves all this by a simple statement written in such a way that nobody can possibly condemn him for anything.  As for the Novorussians, Zakharchenko has already agreed, but on the condition that the Ukies leave behind all their heavy weapons and the ammo for it.  Perfect. Needless to say, the Ukie high command has rejected the offer and ordered the surrounded units to break out guns blazing.  Just imagine how that response feels to the relatives of those stuck in the various "cauldrons"!

The EU: the EU is totally stuck.  Apparently, the chaos in Banderastan combined with the Russian sanctions and the gas crisis is gradually having an effect in the dull brains of the Eurobureaucrats who are coming to realize that they have been at least as stupid as the Ukies and that the US has used them for their own imperial goals.  "Fuck the EU" indeed.  Badly.  The best these hapless bureaucrats could do is to go to Minsk and agree to negotiate with Russia the terms under which the Ukraine would ratify the Agreement with the EU.  Exactly that which Russia had been demanding from Day 1 and which the EU had always been contemptuously rejecting with the arrogant "none of your business" reply.  Now Ashton and a few others had to eat humble pie and kindly ask the Russian to come and talk to them.

The US: Poor Uncle Sam is really looking pathetic, foolish and confused.  The very best the USA can do is to accuse Russia of invading the Ukraine and only threaten more sanctions as Obama has already admitted that the US has no military option in the Ukraine.  To measure the degree of disarray amongst the US Neocons I will just quote from an article written recently by Herbert E. Meyer, former Special Assistant to the Director of Central Intelligence and Vice Chairman of the CIA’s National Intelligence Council during the Reagan Administration, for American Thinker and modestly entitled "How to Solve the Putin Problem".  Here is what this genius came up with:
Since subtlety doesn’t work with Russians, the president and his European counterparts should also make absolutely clear that we have no interest whatever in how these people (the Russian oligarchs) solve their Putin problem. If they can talk good old Vladimir into leaving the Kremlin with full military honors and a 21-gun salute -- that would be fine with us. If Putin is too too stubborn to acknowledge that his career is over, and the only way to get him out of the Kremlin is feet-first, with a bullet hole in the back of his head -- that would also be okay with us.

Nor would we object to a bit of poetic justice.... For instance, if the next time Putin’s flying back to Moscow from yet another visit with his good friends in Cuba, or Venezuela, or Iran, his airplane gets blasted out of the sky by some murky para-military group that somehow, inexplicably, got its hands on a surface-to-air missile
I don't know if Mr. Meyer thinks that Mrs Nuland delivering cookies on the Maidan was the subtlety the Russian did not appreciate or understand, or if his own article is an expression of US subtlety, but he clearly has "Pat Robertson moment" (the latter wanted the US to kill  Hugo Chavez) which just proves that the AngloZionists don't have a diplomacy as such and that magical thinking is a key coping mechanism when that lack of diplomacy becomes obvious.

Where do we go from here?

It' hard to tell.  I think that Oleg Tsarev is right when he says that as soon as the Ukie regime begins collapsing the West will suddenly ask for negotiations.  Zakharchenko in his crucial press conference has clearly indicated that options such as federalization or decentralization are off the table and that nothing short of full independence will do.  Maybe.  Maybe not.  There are plenty of historical examples which show that separatist movements eventually settled for less, often wisely so.  But in this case, we are dealing with several intertwined problems:

a) Geographical: the Ukraine is an artificial country
b) Political: internally the regime in Kiev is Nazi
c) Geo-strategic: externally the regime in Kiev is a russophobic US puppet
d) Economic: the Ukraine is economically dead

All these factors clearly point to the same conclusion: the Ukraine needs to be broken-up.  This might happen catastrophically - the East going to Novorussia, the South to Kolomoiski, the Center to Poroshenko and the West breaking off completely.  There are some signs that this is already gradually happening.   Furthermore, this is all made worse by the undeniable fact that  the Ukraine is already a failed state and that a seizable minority of the Ukrainian population if formed of truly rabid nationalists.  So right now things don't look too good for any negotiated solution.  Novorussia probably has the potential to rebuild and to become a more or less livable, stable place: most of its industry is in ruins, but it's "human capital", it's people, are very bright and hard working and its political leaders clearly capable people.  But short of some kind of miracle, the rest of the Ukraine is probably going to slouch to towards the kind of mess the USA is so good at leaving behind in places like Libya or Iraq.  Maybe not, maybe the Europeans will finally grow a spine and tell the US to stay out and then try to solve this ugly mess with Russia.  I am not holding my breath, not as long as the current AngloZionist nomenklatura is in power in the EU.

One thing could possibly change this downward spiral: a regime change in Kiev.  I don't mean one replacing Poroshenko by Liashko or Iarosh, but an anti-Nazi insurrection or coup.  I will be honest with you, with kind of terror the SBU and the oligarchs are capable of meting out to the general public, this is not very likely.  But who knows what might happen on a wave of popular discontent?  If the current freaks could be kicked out by halfway sane people and a process of denazification initiated, then maybe something could still be salvaged?  Again, I am not very hopeful.  But let's stick to current events.

Current situation

I would say that things look better right now than ever before.  This is far, far from over, and many things could go wrong but at least at this moment in time things look pretty good.  Short of a sudden reversal, the cities of Lugansk and Donetsk are probably going to be freed from most of the shelling within 10-14 days.  Currently, the Novorussians control the entire border between Russia and Novorussia, which makes the Voentorg much easier.  Zakharchenko and his men seem to be making an excellent job and rumor has it that Strelkov will be back soon in some special capacity.  The Novorussian leadership and the Kremlin are clearly on the same wavelength and there is no reason to suspect an over Russian military intervention.  I am confident that the Black Sea Fleet will do what is needed to keep the Novorussian coast safe so as long as the Ukies are not able to mount a surprise attack from the North, Mariupol will probably fall very soon.  There are increasing reports of partisan movements in Zaporozhie and that, if true, is something very interesting which might begin to affect other areas and cities such as Kharkov and Dnepropetrovsk. I still don't see Novorussian tanks headed for Kiev, but an operational success seems to be in the making right at this moment in time.

I am by character, education and trade a rather cautious person, but today I am cautiously optimistic, at least for Novorussia.

The Saker

Post Scriptum: this just in from a good friend:

DPR

- Volnovakha taken by Novorossiya Armed Forces (NAF); South-Western Cauldron closed off.
- Yalta (near Mariupol) taken, NAF is now 12 km away from Mariupol.
- Mariupol - Zaporozhye (Berdyansk) road closed off by NAF. Virtually all settlements around Mariupol appear to be taken by NAF. Mariupol Cauldron closed off.
- Fighting has crossed the border into Zaporozhye. Saboteur-Reconnaissance Groups (SRG) and guerrillas active inside Zaporozhye’s borders.
- Ukrainian punitive forces surrendering in the many cauldrons, the rate of surrenders is picking up pace.
- NAF is pushing outward toward Yasinovataya, Maryinka, Karlovka, Krasnogorovka (west of Donetsk)

AND, the BIGGEST (albeit not fully confirmed) NEWS: Donetsk Airport taken by NAF today.

LPR

- Lutugino partially controlled by the Militia, very heavy urban combat there, although Rodakovo was lost (plans to retake it shortly).
- Lyashko appears to be still trapped in Severodonetsk, which is besieged by Mozgovoi’s Brigade (I have no further information since a couple of days ago).
- LPR has encircled Shchastye and Metallist and is advancing on the Ukrainian positions there, as well as in the north-eastern direction (Stanitsa Luganskaya, which still remains contested).
- NAF continues to advance on Deblatsevo, taking checkpoints on the outskirts of the city.
- LPR is planning some major advances in the next few days, hopefully to clean up most of the remaining cauldrons. 

PPS: and this from Russia Today

Poland has refused overflight rights to the plane of Russia’s defense minister, Sergey Shoigu, who was on his way from Slovakia, RIA Novosti’s correspondent reported. The plane has landed in Bratislava.
The minister was returning from the celebrations of the 70th anniversary of the Slovakian national uprising that took place in the town of Banská Bystrica.
However, Poland banned entrance into its airspace for the Tu-154 plane, according to a RIA Novosti correspondent who was on board, citing one of the crewmembers.
The plane had to take a U-turn and landed in Bratislava an hour later.
Negotiations are being held on the matter at the moment. All the passengers are now on board the plane.

Comment:  rather petty and infantile behavior in my opinion.  This really begs the question of what the Poles think that they will achieve with this other than the dubious honor of "servicing" Uncle Sam once more (those who follow Polish politics will know what I mean).
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"Manifest" by Andrey Avramenko, Kharkov

THE VINEYARD OF THE SAKER - Thu, 08/28/2014 - 22:28
I envy the Russians, I envy these "katsaps" and "the Moskals"!

I envy their Olympics and their army. I have many friends and relatives in Russia. I see how they change and grow. They believe their President. They believe in their army. They are proud of their great history, achievements and victories.

It was once our common history ... victories and achievements. Not so long ago. They have found their ground. They don’t care about the West we worship. They move on and grow, despite of what we are told on our TVs and various social forums. I know that it’s us who are losing, and not them. We have become weaker, and they have gotten stronger.

No matter how loud we keep shouting "Glory to Ukraine!" we can’t stop it.

Not so long ago we were gloating when they had Chechnya.

Today the Chechens are no less Russian than the Russians themselves. They are ready to fight for their revived and great country, of which they are a part. Today we are the one to be frightened with the Chechen battalions. How did this happen???

They were killing each other just yesterday. But the reason is simple: the Chechens were able to remember that they were Russian, and they were part of the great Country and the Great People.

We gloat when they have terrorist attacks and disasters.

However, they overcome them over and over again and become stronger! Even though the whole world is against them!

They fall and rise again. Stand and grin. And just spit blood through their teeth.

We are screaming that they are slaves. That they will soon fall apart, the oil will fall, NATO will attack, and they will be struck down with another punishment. But they are us! We spit on our own reflection. On ourselves.

We must remember that we are a whole. And once we begin to understand and realize it, only then will come the feeling that once our ancestors had. A sense of inner strength, hope, faith, and pride that we are also the Russians.

It doesn’t matter who our ancestors were: Ukrainians, Tatars, Jews, Buryats, or Uzbeks. It doesn’t matter who we are by faith: Catholics, Orthodox, Muslims or Jews. This is not important. What’s important is that we are Russians! That we're a part of the Great people and the Great country.

Yes, our Great Country and our Great People still have a lot of problems. But if we remember that we are Russians, we will change everything forever! Everybody is afraid of that.

They are afraid that we will remember and will be together again.

That’s why they are building spider webs of lies and deceits. This lie and hatred is being maintained by us and in Russia.

They do not allow us to wake up. And if we do not remember who we are, you will never wake up.

About the situation, occupation and others.

Who shouts the loudest that we need to protect "our" independence, unity and freedom? The same officials, oligarchs and parliamentarians. They are terrified that they will have to answer for everything that has happened to our Motherland over the years.

Maybe this is not the occupation? Perhaps, this is the liberation? And our people came, when we lost all our hope, when we almost gave up.

Perhaps, we need to stand together and destroy all these lying politicians, oligarchs, mayors and officials, who are foaming at their mouths and screaming that we need to go and die! To die for their villas, yachts and castles, for their bank accounts, for their freedom to rob us, and for freedom from answering for their actions.

I understand that this Manifesto will be cut out from the web. There will be thousands of angry comments, screams that I'm a traitor, that I was sold out to Putin, that I am katsap and Moskal. I don't care. I know that the truth is with me.

I am a patriot of Ukraine, a true patriot, and now the fate of my people and my Ukraine is being decided.

Either we remember who we are, or we will perish.

I love my Ukrainian people, our ancestors and our culture.

I'm Ukrainian, but more than that I am Russian!

Andrey Avramenko, Kharkov

source: http://svetoven.pogled.info/news/57531/Andrei-Avramenko-Az-zavizhdam-na-rusnatsite
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President of Russia Vladimir Putin addressed Novorossiya militia

THE VINEYARD OF THE SAKER - Thu, 08/28/2014 - 22:21
Full text of address:

It is clear the militia has achieved a major success in intercepting Kiev’s military operation, which represents a grave danger to the population of Donbass and which has already led to the loss of many lives among peaceful residents.

As a result of the militia’s actions, a large number of Ukrainian service members who did not participate in the military operation of their own volition but while following orders have been surrounded.

I call on the militia groups to open a humanitarian corridor for Ukrainian service members who have been surrounded, so as to avoid any needless loss of life, giving them the opportunity to leave the combat area unimpeded and reunite with their families, to return them to their mothers, wives and children, and to quickly provide medical assistance to those who were injured in the course of the military operation.

For its part, the Russian side is ready and willing to provide humanitarian aid to the people of Donbass, who have been affected by this humanitarian catastrophe.

I once again call on the Ukrainian authorities to immediately stop military actions, cease fire, sit down at the negotiating table with Donbass representatives and resolve all the accumulated problems exclusively via peaceful means.

source
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Appeal from the Russian Saker Team

THE VINEYARD OF THE SAKER - Thu, 08/28/2014 - 19:12
Dear friends,
While we are all on the edge waiting for the news from Novorossia to change any minute, we’d like to ask your help with the two projects that the Russian Saker team is currently undertaking:
1. Our Russian partners from polismi.ru site asked us about the Ferguson crisis in the USA. Can those of you who live in the US, write something up for us or send us a link from a reliable source?
2. We are working on a letter to the Ukrainians to help stop the war. Since we, the Russian Saker, represent the Russian diaspora which is a part of the larger international community, we would like to add your voices as well. Please send us your short appeals to editor@vineyardsaker.ru.
Thank you for standing with us in these difficult and trying times, The Russian Saker team
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ISIS = Smoke & Mirrors. Giving cover now for strikes on Syria

pennyforyourthoughts2 - Thu, 08/28/2014 - 12:32
Finally, the post I have been wanting to get to!

We have to realize that ISIS is the smoke and mirrors to the ME reshape.
ISIS is the deception. The distraction. While we are spoon fed the ISIS soma, NATO headed by the US, in cahoots with Israel and the GCC nations reorder the globe to suit their agenda
 If you don't understand the metaphor- This definition will do
Smoke and mirrors is a metaphor for a deceptive, fraudulent or insubstantial explanation or description. The source of the name is based on magicians' illusions, where magicians make objects appear or disappear by extending or retracting mirrors amid a distracting burst of smoke. The expression may have a connotation of virtuosity or cleverness in carrying out such a deception.ISIS = Smoke and Mirrors. Covering for the agenda that has been in the works for sometime now
And it's multifaceted. Kurdistan is being created with the cover of ISIS- Iraq is being further destroyed, it's elected government tossed out under cover of ISIS. Syria, is still struggling and is my focus today

Point by point on some news and views that have been on my mind


First- There has been a rumour making that rounds that the US is providing Syria with intelligence to bomb ISIS targets.

This rumour, in my opinion, is total nonsense.
-Syria has their own surveillance capabilities
-Russia can fill in the gaps
-The populace who revile NATO’s Islamist jihadis can also fill in intelligence gaps

Wherever, or however this rumour got started, mystifies me. But, it certainly shouldn’t be spread around because it is equivalent to spreading gossip.

Here is how I see events falling into place based on the information at hand-

-The US will launch airstrikes into Syria.
-They are and have been laying the groundwork for sometime now.
- Creation of the petro state Kurdistan-
-Soften targets for an onslaught of Islamists, Kurds, Turks and whoever else they have holed up in Northern Iraq
-It is possible, once they have the territory for Kurdistan cleared of Syrians, they will then offer Syria a defacto truce that will be nothing of the sort.
The US can spin the bogus truce narrative along this line.  ISIS is under control in Syria- so no more airstrikes and the so called 'civil war', that never was a civil war, will rage on with the same NATO Islamist fighters. Only this time, there will be more of them and they will be striking a weakened Syria.

This is something mentioned by the former US Ambassador to Saudi Arabia and it seems quite likely

  • Chas Freeman, former US ambassador to Saudi Arabia, told the newspaper that a de facto truce with Assad was probable, though it was unlikely that Western government would offer public support to the Assad regime.
He said he doubted that "the liberal interventionists and neoconservatives who had pursued regime change in Syria were capable of reversing course. To do so would require them to admit that they bore considerable responsibility for legitimising pointless violence that has resulted in the deaths of 190,000 Syrians."The liberal interventionists and neocons aren't going to take responsibility for the deaths of Syrians.  Though, to my mind, they are completely and unquestionably responsible for all the deaths of Syrians. All the displacement. All the disease. All the terror that has been brought upon the people

2nd: The US has made abundantly clear through words and actions they want Assad gone.

"As a matter of US policy, we have not recognized" Assad as the leader in Syria, Earnest said, according to a transcript. "There are no plans to change that policy and there are no plans to coordinate with the Assad regime."

When asked if Earnest's comments also represented a denial of the AFP report, White House National Security Council spokesperson Caitlin Hayden said it did.President Barack Obama has reportedly given the go-ahead for the U.S. military to begin surveillance flights in Syria to gather intelligence on ISIS. The intelligence-gathering could be a prelude for potential strikes on the group in Syria. Covered in this post-Pentagon laying ground work for strike on (ISIS in) Syria

3rd: Some observers and analysts have accused Assad of facilitating ISIS' rise
More nonsense, used to demonzie Assad. As I have explained repeatedly. The Syrian government, elected by the Syrian people and lead by Assad have been fighting ISIS since the destabilization began, by NATO’s Islamist army. There are no moderates, there are only extremist fighters armed, trained etc, by NATO/US/Israel. ISIS = Smoke and Mirrors

4th point- A commenter left this tidbit the other day- Linking the original news source
“In an effort to avoid unintentionally strengthening the Syrian government, the White House could seek to balance strikes against the Islamic State with attacks on Assad regime targets
This tells us quite clearly that Syria is battling ISIS, contrary to the lies.  Because the US claims they would strike Syrian targets to avoid strengthening the government against ISIS. Which of course, the US would not want to aid Syria's fight against NATO Islamist fighters aka terrorists.
The US appears to be doing almost nothing in Iraq against ISIS. Other then making a show of things. -Considering the Iraqi situation it seems plausible that the US will simply target Syrian assets to strengthen the position of their ISIS assets. As mentioned in my prognostications above
 “However, that option is largely unappealing to the president given that it could open the U.S. to the kind of long-term commitment to Syria's stability that Obama has sought to avoid.
That quoted claim is just pure, stinking, piled high excrement.
White House spokesman Josh Earnest on Monday tried to tamp down the notion that action against the Islamic State group could bolster Assad, saying, "We're not interested in trying to help the Assad regime."It's pretty clear airstrikes in Syria, will be just that, airstrikes against Syria

Finally- Today we get reports  that Syria was bombing Islamists at the Golan border.

You know the ones that get their cover and succor from Israel And Israel is firing into Syria. The lying media is claiming the rebels have ‘captured’ the border crossing- Nonsense! The rebels have always been at the border crossing in occupied Golan.This has happened on previous occasions. When Syria moves on Israel’s assets- Israel covers their assets, asses.
It appears there was fighting in that area yesterday and Syria is using aerial bombing to prep a push back in.
 -Assad's forces lost control of the key area yesterday after heavy fighting
-Syrian jets bombed Al Qaeda rebels near a border crossing close to the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights today after losing control of the area in yesterday's heavy clashes.
-Israel shells Syria as rebels take border crossing

Of course, Israel, has nothing to fear because the NATO/US/Israeli Islamist fighters aren’t interested in fighting against Israel - Jihadists in Syria not likely to open a new front against Israel
Not now, not ever
Taking the military post bordering on Israel is “clearly a risky move for any Syrian rebel group considering the delicate state of dynamics in that area,” said Lister. However, he said, such a move should be seen as part of the rebels’ wider campaign goal of ridding Syria’s southwest Quneitra Governorate of regime forces.
There is no risk for the rebel group- They know Israel is their ally.

Don't miss UN Security Council meeting at Lithuania's request- Separatists take strategic town!
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UN Security Council meeting at Lithuania's request- Separatists take strategic town!

pennyforyourthoughts2 - Thu, 08/28/2014 - 10:40
 UPDATED!

The UN Security Council is preparing to meet in emergency session on the growing crisis in Ukraine.
Diplomats said Thursday that the council will meet at 2 p.m. at the request of Lithuania.

Lithuania, of course, brings to mind F the EU Nuland and her neocon husband Robert Kagan

Why this sudden concern?
Strategic town taken by Separatists was the original headline.... as sent to me

This advance connects Crimea to the Eastern separatist region- hence the concern  of Lithuania

Novoazovsk, which lies along the road connecting Russia to the Russia-annexed CrimeaThe new southeastern front raised fears that the separatists are seeking to create a land link between Russia and Crimea. If successful, it could give them or Russia control over the entire Sea of Azov and the gas and mineral riches that energy experts believe it contains. Ukraine already lost roughly half its coastline, several major ports and significant Black Sea mineral rights in March when Russia annexed Crimea.  National Guard reinforcements were taking up positions in Mariupol. "The positions are being strengthened," the spokesman said. "The road from Novoazovsk to Mariupol is under the control of Ukrainian troops."
Check the location of these latest advances using the resource top/sidebar to the right.
Novorossiya has just taken a big step forward- I get the frantic Lithuanian request

UPDATED YET AGAIN!

Ukraine leader, after key loss to separatists, says situation 'difficult but controllable'

 Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko, speaking on Thursday after the army lost a key town to separatists, said the situation in the conflict zone in the east was "extraordinarily difficult ... but controllable"
 The loss of Novoazovsk, Ukraine's most southeasterly point, after a two-day assault by Russian-backed separatists in an armoured column, is a blow to government forces since it leaves vulnerable the big port city of Mariupol, further west along the coast.
Yup, the NATO panic is palpable!
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Novorussian flag over Saur Mogila (UPDATED!)

THE VINEYARD OF THE SAKER - Thu, 08/28/2014 - 08:43


what hand amongst the rubble
fixed you there
beneath vast spaces
of Novorussian skies?
left there leaning alone
blue stripe above as the sky
red stripe below as the blood
of the fallen
flying in the breeze
capturing hearts
with the silent joyful message
of victory and freedom
Prue Benson 








Updated version by Vasco de Gama:
 
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When It's Not a "Snowden" Whistleblower

kennysideshow - Wed, 08/27/2014 - 19:18
From day one Edward Snowden had the press on-board. They dutifully reported some of the excesses of the surveillance society as was allowed. Most of which was already known or suspected. Millions of words have been spoken and written about the NSA and others sucking up all our data and saving it for a rainy day.

Of course most in America are not willing to give up their 'smart' phones and assorted toys and we ourselves are not giving up our computers, despite the spying. So nothing has changed and in spite of any debate, there has been no change in policy. If the truth be known the process of grabbing and storing all electronic data is becoming more sophisticated with each passing day. 

So Snowden has had no short term effect on protecting our privacy, much less a long term one. We've accepted our plight and in the eyes of those implementing the agenda, we have reluctantly embraced another part of our slavery. That was part of the plan. Sometimes plans work for awhile.


But what about whistleblowers who get no MSM time? Where there may be something to what they blow.

Is Dr. William (“Oh my God.  I cannot believe we did what we did, but we did.") Thompson telling us something long suspected, long debated, that vaccines can cause autism and who knows what else and that the CDC and big pharma know it and covered it up? For the profit of their friends and benefactors and themselves. For the slow burn of depopulation, genocide and compromising a population's health. 

Silence is golden. 

The idea that millions of children may have been affected in a scam that has many aspects cannot be debated in the corporate media or else too many questions may be asked. "That's my child they played with." What else have they lied about? "Take a flu shot?" I don't think so.

The most noticeable alternative voices in exposing this latest treason against humanity, Jon Rappoport and Mike Adams are tied in with Alex Jones. How about Jim Stone and his warnings? Many people will not even consider anything they don't see on TV even if it may be true.


NBC News tonight had a story that in their paid propaganda world is what amounts to addressing the issue and trying to diffuse the situation.by promoting fear of those awake people who are not allowing themselves or their children to get the poison jabs. They are a threat to the entire country. They may as well say that being anti-vaccination is terrorist.



Snowden's manufactured whistleblowing gets a pass and a kiss. Dr. William Thompson's statements get dismissed. That's our world of deceit. We have to change that. It's not easy. In the meantime, perhaps never getting a vaccination will send a message that these lies don't work anymore.

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Not confirmed, but maybe?! (+ open thread)

THE VINEYARD OF THE SAKER - Wed, 08/27/2014 - 18:40
Dear friends,

I just decided to quickly drop by to let you know that the reports out of Novorussia are nothing short of incredible.  Okay, this is not, repeat, *NOT* confirmed, but sources are reporting that Novorussian forces have bypassed Mariupol from the north and have entered the Zaporozhie region!  I find this hard to believe, but some sources indicate that there is an offensive on Berdiansk.  If true, this is almost scary as this means a very long flank opening to a Ukie counterattack from the North.  There have been reports over the past few days that the Ukies are fleeing Mariupol, but I still would be very careful.  The Ukies in the first southern cauldron came very close to breaking out through the north and I just hope that no Ukie force is considered finished until it is really, truly, finished.

Still, the speed at which the Ukies are retreating might (not sure!!) that they have reached their breaking point.  If so, then this conflict is coming to some kind of a new phase.

Another thing which really made my day is the news that Putin told Poroshenko and Co. "we are not a party to this war - talk to the Novorussians".  Beautiful and perfectly timed!

We should know more by tomorrow morning.

In the meantime - keep open threading!

Cheers,

The Saker
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Shielding the Executioner: Shaun Cowley, Paul Cassell, and the Murder of Danielle Willard

freedominourtime - Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:47




During a lengthy career that includes stints as a federal prosecutor and judge, Paul Cassell has devoutly upheld the vision of 18thCentury arch-authoritarian Joseph de Maistre, who taught that “all greatness, all power, all social order depends on the executioner.” The figure dispensing lethal violence on behalf of the state is both “the terror of human society” and the “tie that holds it together,” Maistre insisted. “Take away this incontrovertible force from the world, and at that very moment order is superseded by chaos, thrones fall, society disappears."
For Maistre, the executioner is a high priest presiding over the arcane ritual in which lethal violence is transubstantiated into public order. Paul Cassell shares that view. Removing procedural impediments to execution has been one of two causes that have largely defined Mr. Cassell’s legal activism. The other is a campaign to overturn Miranda v. Arizona and the “Exclusionary Rule” buttressed by that decision. Cassell has distinguished himself by his zeal to allow police to brow-beat people into confessions, and executioners to ply their trade more energetically.

Cassell has dismissed as an “urban myth”the belief that innocent people have been sentenced to death – a characterization that is impossible to sustain as the roster of now-exposed wrongful convictions expands. He has denounced the Miranda ruling as “the most damaging blow inflicted on law enforcement in the last 50 years,” insisting that the 1966 ruling led to a deluge of “unjust acquittals.” 
Clearly, Cassell considers the current legal system to be too deferential to the rights of defendants, insisting that we shouldn’t let our concerns about due process undermine the rights of crime victims.
Owing to his background, Cassell is perhaps the last person we should expect to see surrendering to civil libertarian impulses. However, the case of accused killer Shaun Cowley has cooled Cassell’s ardor for swift punishment and prompted him to question the legitimacy of compelled confessions. This is because of the identity of the killer, not the nature of his act: Cowley is a former West Valley City Police Officer accused of manslaughter in the November 2, 2012 shooting death of Danielle Willard
When Cowley pulled the trigger, he was behaving as the executioner ex officio. That is the only reason why Cassell, who is currently a law professor, has volunteered his services to the ex-officer’s defense team. 

“My concern is that a guilty verdict in this case will jeopardize the safety of the community by making police officers fearful of defending themselves against criminals who are themselves threatening deadly force,” Cassell wrote in a letter to Brent Rawson, an attorney for the Utah branch of the Fraternal Order of Police. The killing of Willard, Cassell declared, was “a case of justifiable homicide on the part of Officer Cowley – and obviously, at the very least, a case in which criminal charges should never have been filed.” 
Willard, a slightly built 21-year-old Vancouver, Washington native, had relocated to Utah to attend a drug treatment program. A few days before she was killed, Willard had called the police to report a break-in at her apartment. This suggests two things – first, that she wasn’t trying to conceal illegal activity from the police, or she wouldn’t have invited their attention; second, she was concerned about a potentially fatal threat to her personal safety. That mindset would explain why Willard panicked at the sight of two armed strangers in street clothes whom she may not have identified as police officers.

When Cowley and his partner, Officer Matt Salmon, approached Willard in the parking lot of her apartment complex, she locked her car and refused to roll down the window. After Crowley obtained a crowbar to shatter the driver’s side window, Willard put the car in gear and attempted to flee the parking lot, backing her Subaru Forrester into a police cruiser and then allegedly injuring Cowley as the car brushed against him. 
Cowley, who was not seriously injured, shot Willard twice, once in the top left-hand section of her head, while he was standing beside the car, rather than in front of it. The DA’s investigation concluded that at the time Cowley fired the shots, Willard was not driving fast enough to endanger the officer’s life, or that of his partner, who also fired several shots without hitting Willard.
If Cowley and Salmon had been members of a private sector narcotics gang, both of them would face capital murder charges. The investigation into the Willard killing revealed that the agency employing the shooter was a privileged criminal syndicate: The killing of Danielle Willard should have led to a RICO prosecution of the narcotics division, if not the entire department. 

An audit of the West Valley PD ordered by Salt Lake County DA Sim Gill led to the discovery that the narcotics unit that employed Cowley had stolen money, drugs, and “trophies” from narcotics suspects. Interviews with “cooperating informants” weren’t recorded properly, and officers regularly violated the Fourth Amendment by attaching GPS monitors to vehicles without warrants.  
In addition to rampant larceny and routine due process violations, the drug unit was engaged in something strongly resembling human trafficking. The Provo Daily Herald recounts that the audit discovered “that officers improperly used confidential informants and some of them may have been in the country illegally….”
As a result, Gill dismissed 125 drug-related criminal casesand the department disbanded the drug unit. Amid accumulating revelations of systemic corruptionwithin the department mounted, Chief Thayle Nielsen suddenly retired, citing a previously undisclosed “health” issue. Cowley was fired as well -- not for killing Willard, but for “misplacing” drug evidence that was found in the trunk of his car.
Earlier this summer, Attorney Mark Geragos, who is representing Willard’s family in a lawsuit, filed a motion alleging that an officer other than Cowley had been given a “hush money” buyout when he left the West Valley PD in order to dissuade him from revealing corruption within the department. Nielsen’s successor as chief, Lee Russo, admitted that the officer had been fired after being accused of sexual contact with potential suspects, and that he had received a severance payment after signing a nondisclosure agreement, but insisted that it was “in no way, shape or form” a hush money arrangement.

“The assertion that we still have criminals [in our] department is offensive, irresponsible, and inaccurate,” protested Russo, offering an oblique admission against interest that did nothing to reassure the public.
Remember that admission; we’ll revisit it anon.
For lancing this malignant carbuncle on Salt Lake County’s body politic, Sim Gill earned effusive praise from the upright and public-spirited personages who compose Utah’s political establishment and law enforcement community.
Well, not exactly.
Salt Lake County Republican Party Chairman Chad Bennion denounced Gill, who was born in India as an alien “cop hater”who was indelibly tainted by his foreign upbringing. Last July, the Utah police union filed an utterly meritless bar complaint against Gill accusing him of a “pattern of unethical behavior.”
The ripening controversy prompted Cassell to descend from the Olympian realm in which he resides to act as a defense attorney for the first time in a career otherwise uniformly devoted to expanding state power at the expense of the defendant’s rights. 
Condemning a foreign-born "cop hater": The bilious Bennion. In 2000, Cassell filed amicus briefs in Dickerson v. United States in the eager expectation that the Supreme Court would the Miranda ruling and reinstate Section 3501, a statute that would allow admission of “voluntary” confessions by suspects who had not received the Miranda Warning. The High Court upheld Miranda and found Section 3501 to be unconstitutional. This prompted Cassell and congressional allies to redouble the efforts to enact a “victim’s rights amendment” to the Constitution
The Clinton administration, which was not notable for its devotion to due process, proposed four changes to the draft amendment, one of which would add the following language: “Nothing in this article shall be construed to deny or diminish the rights of the accused as guaranteed by the Constitution.”“To put that language in would have perpetuated the very problem we were trying to solve,” complained Cassell – the “problem” being that suspects are considered innocent until proven guilty of an offense, rather than being regarded as offenders by virtue of being put on trial. 
In addressing the charges against Cowley, Cassell has neatly inverted the priorities he had followed for decades. This is a case in which there is no dispute regarding the identity of the shooter and that of the victim. Yet Cassell has pointedly declined to solicit input from the victim’s family, or argue that they have a role to play in the legal proceedings. His priority is to dispose of the matter before it can come to trial by suppressing statements Cowley made to officers investigating the violent death of Danielle Willard. 
Cassell accuses Gill of making improper use of statements made by Cowley after he invoked his supposed “Garrity” privileges. As I’ve explained before, under the special immunity established by the Supreme Court’s ruling in Garrity v. New Jersey, an officer suspected of misconduct cannot be prosecuted on the basis of statements made during an internal investigation. 
The only leverage investigators have against an uncooperative suspect in that context is the threat of termination. That sanction doesn’t involve an injury to an actual property right, since a police officer cannot legitimately claim a property right to a position subsidized by plundered wealth. 
A criminal defendant not protected by Garrity, on the other hand, faces immediate and acute threats to his person and property. Furthermore, any contradictions between the first version of the suspect’s story and the one that emerges from a lengthy interrogation can be used as evidence against him. This is why the Exclusionary Rule, and the right against self-incrimination it protects, are indispensable. 
Cassell regards Mirandato be inimical to public order because it can deter suspects from confessing. Not surprisingly, he insists that Shaun Cowley must be spared the blessing of such compelled soul-cleansing, or anything akin to it. Cassell, who treats Miranda as a profanation of the state’s punitive rituals, regards Garrity to be sacred and inviolable because of the role played by the people it protects. 

Owing to alleged violations of the Cowley’s Garrity privilege, “the entire investigation and prosecution team is tainted,” he asserts. “The burden is on the state to prove there has been no taint. We do not believe they will be able to meet that burden.” 
Would Cassell be similarly fastidious about a “tainted” prosecution if Cowley and Salmon had been two drug dealers who shot at Willard in otherwise identical circumstances – or if, in that scenario, she had actually attempted to run down Cowley? Of course not: Because of their affiliation with a narcotics unit that the current West Valley PD Chief admits was a criminal gang, Cowley and Salmon were privileged aggressors.
In this instance, Cassell maintains, the supposed rights of the killer are of immeasurably greater social worth than the interests of the victim, because “Effective law enforcement is critical to preventing victimization of society.” 
“Effective” enforcement of the “law,” from Cassell’s perspective, requires that the executioner enjoy a special exemption from it. 
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Dum spiro, pugno!

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August 26th-27th Iraq SITREP by Mindfriedo: Sistani, Sistani, Sistani! May God keep you till the Mahdi!

THE VINEYARD OF THE SAKER - Wed, 08/27/2014 - 14:36
Retraction: Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif was referring to Concessions being given by the West on compromises made in Arak, where nuclear facilities are located, and not on Iraq, its neighbour.

26th Aug: Iraqi Security Forces are stating that they have arrested the terrorist responsible for the bombing that took place in Babil on Monday.
26th Aug: Daash has destroyed using explosives the house of the advisor to the Salah Al Din Governor, Martyr Umayah Jebarah. She was killed fighting Daash on the 22nd of June. May God give her a better home close to Him.
26th Aug: Daash terrorists have detonated the house of Ahmed al-Khalaf al-Ibraheem, a tribal chief in Mosul.
26th Aug: The Peshmergas release a statement stating that they are firmly in control of Mosul Dam and they will legally prosecute anyone spreading rumours to the contrary. This is after an Iraqi media outlet claimed that Mosul Dam had been taken over by Daash and that 200 Peshmerga fighters had been imprisoned by Daash.
26th Aug: Saddam's Tactics: Militants in Fallujah block the flow of water by closing the 10 gates of Fallujah's Dam in an attempt to dry up areas to the south and flood areas around Baghdad. The Iraqi airforce bombs and damages three of the gates. The cracks in the gates start to free water being blocked by the dam.
26th Aug: Enemy of my enemy: Obama authorises reconnaissance flights over Syrian air space in order to be able to bomb Daash fighters in Syria.
26th Aug: Mullah Khalid, head of the Sunni Iraqi Scientist Group, condemns the retaliatory sectarian attacks targeting Shia Muslims: bombings in Karbala, Hilla, and Baghdad and sectarian statements being made by Sunni leaders after the attack on the Sunni Musab bin Omair mosque in Diyala as being irresponsible and nothing short of pouring oil on fire.
26th Aug: Abdolreza Rahmani Fazli, the Interior Minister of Iran, states that any attack on the Sacred Shrines in Najaf and Karbala will result in an automatic military response by Iran, no matter who the attacker is. He stated that President Rouhani has given the necessary permission to the people concerned to act in case this red line is crossed.
26th Aug: Massoud Barzani personally receives Javad Zarif at Erbil airport and hosts him at his house. At a joint press conference Zarif stresses that there is no need for Iran to send troops to Iraq as both Iraqi troops and Peshmerga forces are sufficient and strong enough to deal with Daash. Barzani refers to Iran as the First Nation to have come to the aid of Iraqi Kurdistan.
26th Aug: Fool me twice: US congressman Ed Royce talks of arming the good rebels in Syria once more.
26th Aaug: The Iraqi Security Forces kill seven Daash leaders in Al Karama, Baghdad: Samir Khaeed, Arkan Rashwan, Ahmed al-Suedawi, Zamel al-Halbusi, Saddam Rokan and Qatada from Saudi Arabia and Abu Osama from Libya
26th Aug: Daash has expelled 60 families from Nijana village in Al Atheem and killed three residents who refused to cooperate. Daash needed the houses of the civilians to booby trap them to impede the advance of Security Forces. Daash had asked the families to give all their money and belongings to Daash fighters evicting them. Daash has reportedly booby trapped 350 houses north of Baqouba.
26th Aug: Hitler's Youth: Daash starts to prepare young boys as suicide bombers in Saadia in preparation of Peshmerga assaults on the town. Daash was forced to retreat into the town in the face of artillery strikes by Peshmergas and air strikes by the Government.
26th Aug: Daash executes 12 residents of Hawija on suspicion of spying for the Iraqi government. The men executed belonged to Awakening forces or were police personnel.

27th Aug: Embodiment of the Shia faith, a living treasure for Iraq, Marja of Shias the world over, saviour of Moqtada Sadr, Protector of Baghdad, Evictor of Maliki (for unity), the man who single handedly Sanctioned the Americans from himself, bent the will of Iran, endeared the sects of Iraq, crushed the machinations of the Gulf Monarchs, prevented Iraq's descent into civil war, the man whose word made people return looted property, and whose command compels the Iraqi army to act: Sistani expresses concern for the citizens of Amerli and this has the Iraqi army preparing for a major push to fight Daash and end the siege of Amerli. The Iraqi Air Force has also carried out air trikes on Daash positions around Amerli.
(My parents had the good fortune to meet Ayatollah Sistani this year, and my father kept repeating, "what noor (light) he has")
Iraqi Security Forces are reporting that they have now reached Amerli outskirts and fighting with Daash will start soon. Hezbollah hum al Ghalibun.
27th Aug: Nouri Al Maliki criticises remarks made by Kerry that suggested that Iraq be divided on sectarian lines. He has asked other blocs: Sunni and Kurdish to lower their demands prior to government formation and has asked Haider Al Abadi to go ahead with majority rule if they do not show flexibility.
27th Aug: Overwhelmed: The High Commission for Human Rights in Iraq States that there is no accurate figure of the number of people displaced by fighting in Iraq. But a "reasonable" assumption is that 500000 to 1000000 have been displaced.
27th Aug: Nechirvan Barzani, the President of the Kurdistan Region in Iraq, States that the Kurds had a very bitter experience with Maliki. However, he repeats something that Maliki has been repeating since 2006, that fighting terrorism (Daash) is the responsibility of everybody and that the Kurds (Iraq) are fighting terrorism.
The Kurds are keen to resolve issues related to article 140 of Iraq's constitution. Read here http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kirkuk_status_referendum
Most of the territory, though not all that the Kurds had moved into after the Iraqi army fled Daash in June was this same contested territory.
The Kurds state that negotiations between them and the National Alliance are moving forward in the right way. They mention that the National Alliance is cooperating with demands that are within the constitution.
27th Aug: The Kurds bombard Daash positions in Bashiqah, north east if Mosul with artillery and the United Staes bombs them with air strikes killing and injuring many.
27th Aug: Former Speaker and Sunni Politician Ayad al-Samarrai (head of the Iraqi Islamic Party) states that Iraqi Sunnis are also divided in their opinion of whether or not to work with the next government being formed.
27th Aug: One of three Indian nationals missing and believed to be fighting for Daash, Arif Majid, is reported killed in Iraq.
27th Aug: Javad Zarif concludes his three day visit to Iraq. He refers to Iran as being trustworthy and that he had a chance to consult with all political blocs including the Marjas in Najaf (and excluding Daash).
27th Aug: The Iraqi Security Forces hope to be able to free Tikrit in the next 14 days. The plan is to gradually attack and free other areas from Daash after Tokrit has fallen. The besieged sub district of Amerli will also be freed after Tikrit. Food supplies are running low in Amerli and it's Turkoman Shia inhabitants are at risk of mass murder by besieging Daash terrorists.
27th Aug: Salim Al Jubouri holds a meeting with the concerned officials of Salah al Din province concerning the fate of the 1700 Shia recruits murdered by Daash terrorists.
27th Aug: Death from above: The US carries out two air strikes against Daash targets near Erbil.
27th Aug: Feeling the pain before feeling their maker: A significantly large number of Daash casualties are being reported at the al-Salam Hospital (Saddam) and the al-Jumhori Hospital, and the General Hospital in Mosul. The hospitals lack medicine and anaesthetics. The Daash wounded are from US air strikes and Peshmerga artillery strikes north east of Mosul.
27th Aug: Tribal fighters from the Albu Faraj clan in Dhuluiya, believed to be a Salafi/Wahabi stronghold of Daash fighters 60 km south of Tikrit, attack and kill 7 fighters of Daash on a farm property and sequester their weapons and ammunition.
27th Aug: The Iraqi Air Force claims to have killed over a 100 fighters of Daash in different parts of Iraq.
27th Aug: Douglas McAuthur McCain, an American national, is killed fighting for Daash in Syria. Another 15 Australian fighters are reported killed in Iraq and Syria. Robert Fisk has correctly pointed out that most fighters from the West fighting on behalf of Daash are ethnically either Indian or Pakistani.
27th Aug: Iraqi security forces have used air borne troops to secure the road linking Haditha and Baiji.

Related:
27th Aug: Al Nusra fighters have taken over the Syrian Israeli crossing of Quneitra across from the Israeli occupied Golan Heights. Fighting with Syrian troops is continuing.
An Israeli soldier was hit in stray fire and Israel responded by shelling two Syrian army posts. like always a very measured response by the Israelis. It involves an algorithm that takes into account the total number of Israelis, the total number of Muslim Arabs, the Military strength of both sides, the Economic disparity of both sides, the influence and media outlets available to both sides etc etc etc
27th Aug: End of political correctness? Being British is a privilege: Police in the UK are reporting a five fold increase in the arrests of would be Daash fighters. While the US is tracking up to 300 Americans fighting for Daash.
27th Aug: Shirley Sotloff, mother of journalist Steven Sotloff held by Daash, makes a video appeal for his release. May Allah protect him and give him courage.
Meanwhile, Daash is demanding a 6.6 million USD ransom for a 26 year old Aid worker they had kidnapped. Let's hope Qatar pays for her too.
27th Aug: An example to all: A Syrian soldier about to be executed by Daash screams out "I swear to God we will eradicate the (Islamic) state." Amen, ya Rabal Alameen, so be it, oh lord of the Universe(s). The soldier was later executed.
27th Aug: Jordanian Islamic scholars are asking that Daash fighters not be referred to as Jihadists. As they tend to do things that are completely UnIslamic.
27th Aug: Until next time: Following the cease fire in Gaza, Qatar offers to rebuild the entire strip.
27th Aug: Iran announces that it has started to arm resistance groups in the a West Bank.
27th Aug: Pro Daash twitter accounts show photos of captured Syrian soldiers, weapons and Sukhoi aircraft that Daash has captured in Raqqa. It also shows photos of regime soldiers being executed.

Further reading:
The pimps of the Middle East:
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/qatar-and-the-reason-us-hostage-peter-theo-curtis-has-been-released-9690048.html
Spread of Poisoned Islam:
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/isiss-undoubted-skill-in-exploiting-social-media-is-no-reason-for-us-leaders-to-start-talking-about-the-apocalypse-9688438.html
Give and take:
http://english.al-akhbar.com/content/iraq-can-major-concessions-end-political-crisis
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No breakthrought at Minsk- Second front opens as Ukie forces flounder

pennyforyourthoughts2 - Wed, 08/27/2014 - 12:57
Still being dam short on time and want to get to yet more on Syria & Ukraine, but this tidbit is going to have to do. Hopefully some great commenters will leave some more info!!
hint, hint :)

Janes- Opening of second front as peace talks flounder indicates a military stalemate is developing in eastern Ukraine

Key Points
  • Peace talks were held between Russia and Ukraine in Minsk on 26 August, although little progress was made in finding a solution to the conflict in eastern Ukraine, as separatist fighters apparently launched a new offensive towards the city of Mariupol.
  • The poor organisation, logistics, and training of Ukrainian government forces make it highly unlikely they will achieve a military victory over the rebels in eastern Ukraine before the onset of winter, while Russia's direct but unofficial military support to the separatists is likely to intensify, with the aim of forcing the Ukrainian leadership into talks with the insurgents.
Minsk summit produces no breakthrough for Ukraine

While describing the talks as "positive," Russian President Vladimir Putin said the details of truce terms are the internal matter for Kiev.
"Russia can't substantively discuss conditions of a ceasefire...That is not our business, it's up to Ukraine itself," Putin told reporters in Minsk, Belarus early on Wednesday.Ukraine must talk to separatists
"We can only contribute to creating a situation of trust for a possible, and in my view, extremely necessary, negotiation process," he added.Ukraine must talk to separatists

For Ukraine, the largely Russian-speaking region is where the country's economic foundation lies.
Rich in deposits of coal and iron ore, the eastern part of Ukraine holds almost the entire industry of Ukraine, making the cession of this region unacceptable for Kiev.
Kiev now urgently wants the rebels to hand back the territory they have captured in eastern Ukraine
The EU is very concerned with trade. Read entire article at above link

First post of the day- also open for comments for a short time
James Foley: Fake tape = No beheading. Spooks and spies, oh my!
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James Foley: Fake tape = No beheading. Spooks and spies, oh my!

pennyforyourthoughts2 - Wed, 08/27/2014 - 12:44
The alleged beheading of James Foley? Just another psychological operation
If you have had your head buried in the sand and have no idea what is being discussed....... James Foley “beheading” fans the war flames-Problem, Reaction, Solution

Presently-   The tape is, yawn, staged A study of the four-minute 40-second clip, carried out by an international forensic science company which has worked for police forces across Britain, has raised a number of questions about what really happened on a patch of desert land, thought to be somewhere in northern Syria.The analysis highlights a number of discrepancies that could indicate that the beheading scene broadcast to the world was not the genuine killing.
-Firstly, no blood can be seen, even though the knife is drawn across the neck area at least six times, the British daily said quoting experts.
-Secondly, sounds allegedly made by Foley do not appear consistent with what may be expected, it said.
-The forensic analysis expert said no incision could be seen on Foley's neck, though the right hand of the jihadist partially blocked the shot.
-Footage of Foley, 40, with his head shaven and kneeling upright in a bright orange robe, is filmed from two cameras running at the same time .
-Foley's words, which run for one minute and 26 seconds, appear to have been scripted, the report said.
-The analysis highlighted a blip in the imagery that could indicate the journalist had to repeat a line, it said.
-Scrutiny of the subsequent speech by the masked jihadist, in which he warns the US of attacks, indicate that the words are spoken by the militant even though his mouth is obscured by his headscarf.
Of course, in keeping with the completely bogus narrative, the analysis does not dispute that Foley was beheaded.  I however, do dispute that any beheading took place.
It's a simple as this- Faked beheading = No proof of a killing of anyone, anywhere, at all.
 "No one is disputing that at some point an execution occurred." Is complete and utter baloney- They cannot claim any execution took place when there is ZERO proof of said execution taking place?

A most disgusting aspect of this whole sordid saga?  The US narrative creations services aka 'intelligence' validated this tape.
Flashback to previous post- BTW: US Intelligence is claiming the video is real. So what? That doesn't make the beheading real.    No more real then any beheading that takes place in a Hollywood gore flick- That video is real, also!
Oops they lied. It must just be more of that incompetence, right? The kind that always leads to blowback?
Blowback, is of course, just another lie.  The logical fallacy of “blowback” Intoxication with the blowback mind virus

Concluding- Fake tape = No beheading = PsyopSpooky hip/hop/rapper UK Jihadi

NYmag


The fake beheading tape featured exhiphop artist:  Abdel-Majed Abdel Bary — also known as “Lyricist Jinn” or “L Jinny” — is the main suspect-Good thing that there would be lots of voice samples available for identifying purposes, right?
-And isn't it interesting that the largely UK/European/Indian media is suggesting this fake video may get our spooky hiphop artist off the hook?
Forensic analysis of the footage of the journalist’s death has suggested that the British jihadist in the film may have been the frontman rather than the killer. Not the killer, just the frontman. - Isn't it fortunate, that the tape is fake, for the spooky hip/hop jihadist with a ton of voice samples widely available for analysis? - Isn't it fortunate that the spooky hip/hop jihadist would be the one to do the voice over knowing he could easily be identified and cleared of wrong doing?
And, wouldn't a hip/hoppin/rappin jihadist in swingin' London make a perfect recruiting tool for NATO Islamist armies. Dupes who wouldn't have a clue they were fighting for the global war machine? It's almost foolproof. It is in fact such a good model, it was used in the US!  See one allegedly dead  American Rapper Douglas McAuthur McCain Killed Fighting for Isis in Syria  Douglas McAuthur McCain? Reportedly died in a fire fight. Identified by his passport, allegedly found on the battlefield and $800.00 cash  He was known to the FBI   Why? When he had only had minor scuffles with the law?
 In 2000, he was arrested on charges of disorderly conduct, and public records show another arrest in 2006, booked for charges of obstruction..He was alleged to be on the terror watch list And yet............
The American travelled to Sweden to rap and several Swedes told NBC News that they met him when he performed in the town of Vasteras, near Stockholm and attended an underground rap show.

Then onto Turkey and into Syria? Sweden? These two rappin/hiphoppin jihadis are clearly linked to the massive Islamist pipeline created by any number of intelligence operations- Sweden, though? That suggests Israeli intelligence to me- But, who knows?

The UK hip/hop/rapper jihadi  has a dad with an interesting and equally spooky background

-
The father is alleged to be some kind of terrorist- he flees to UK and get’s political asylum in 1993? -According to the Guardian, he was arrested soon after the August 7, 1998 embassy bombings. 'There was a dawn raid by British police in white contamination suits, brandishing truncheons and breaking down the front door. Ragaa and the children were traumatized.  A dozen or so men were suddenly in their bedrooms, shouting for her husband, searching the children's clothes, tearing out pages from any books with telephone numbers.
-But British authorities found nothing to tie Bari to the embassy bombings and he was soon released- He was arrested again when the United States applied for his extradition on the same charges that the British had dismissedHe was extradited to the U.S. in 2012. And still awaiting trial
spooky!
Let's go a bit further back to get a bit more background on the UK rapper jihadist's father
and the company he kept - Extradition saga ends
Adel Abdel-Meguid Abdel-Bari, (UK jihadi's dad) sentenced to death in absentia by an Egyptian military court for allegedly plotting to plant bombs in the central Cairo Khan Al-Khalili bazaar, left Egypt for the UK in 1990. He obtained political asylum in 1993 and set up the International Office for the Defence of the Egyptian People in London in 1997. British nationals Syed Tahla Ahsan and Babar Ahmed are both described as computer experts. They were first detained in 2004 and 2006 for operating a website supporting mujahideen in Afghanistan and Chechnya by securing money, recruits and equipment. Both men are charged with conspiracy to provide material support to terrorists and conspiring to kill persons in a foreign country. Ahmed also faces money laundering charges.  Abu Hamza was born in Alexandria, Egypt, on 15 April 1958. His father was an army officer, his mother the headmistress of a primary school. After obtaining a degree in civil engineering Abu Hamza left for the UK in 1979. In the late 1980s he came into contact with mujahideen who had fought against the Soviet Union in Afghanistan, serving as their translator when they came to London for medical treatment.
He soon joined them in Afghanistan where he lost his hands and one eye. In 1993 he returned to the UK for treatment only to leave two years later to support Bosnian Muslims during the worst of the atrocities committed during the break-up of the former Yugoslavia. He finally settled in the UK in 1997 and became the preacher of the Finsbury Park mosque in London.
The Guardian lamented the incarceration of UK junior Jihadi's daddy
Egypt puts British justice to shame
As political prisoners go free in post-Mubarak Egypt, Adel Abdel Bary, who sought asylum in the UK, still languishes in a UK jailThousands of political opponents were jailed by Sadat, and tens of thousands more after his assassination; opponents of the regime were hounded at home and abroad.Adel Abdel Bary, a human rights lawyer who was for years one of Amnesty International's sources of information, was imprisoned and tortured for his political opposition; in 1993, he was given political asylum here. He was then arrested here in 1998, shortly after the al-Qaida attack on US embassies in east Africa. He was released after five days when the British police found there was no terrorism case to charge him with.

 In London, Abdel Bary was focused only on his own country, and ran an organisation called International Office for the Defence of the Egyptian People. UK officials were aware of these political activities.
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Overview of the Situation in the Donbass Region from Gleb Bazov

THE VINEYARD OF THE SAKER - Wed, 08/27/2014 - 11:09
Overview of the Situation in the Donbass Region – August 24, 2014Translated by Daniel Mikhailovich
Edited by Olga LuzanovaThe Fighting in the Coastal AreaEven recently, it might have seemed laughable, but today the fighting has begun in the area of Novoazovsk, where a powerful anti-aircraft defense node and a hodgepodge of different units of questionable combat capability have been stationed since April to cover the border with Russia. After the Southern Encirclement 2.0 was created, the Militiamen began to probe the other checkpoints to the south-west of Marinovka, and were surprised to find out that there are almost no defenses. All the forces were drawn up to the main front line, creating a gap to the south of Amvrosievka, which was only partially covered with the covering forces. At first, the Militia’s saboteur-reconnaisance groups (“SRG”) began to infiltrate to the south-west, which has led to the capture of the "Uspenka" border checkpoint. After that, the Militia broke-out to the coast, as there were no serious forces of the Junta. As a result, several SRGs moved almost to Novoazovsk and the towns of Holodnoe and Sedovo, firing and attacking some checkpoints.The Militia obviously doesn't have enough forces there to seize and hold the towns (let alone capturing Novoazovsk or Mariupol); but judging by the reports that a bomb shelter has been opened in Mariupol, the command of the Junta in this area lost their nerve. It is not only that the gap along the border continues to expand, there is also a threat (even if remote for now) to Novoazovsk and Mariupol; as there are few Junta's forces there, and nobody knows what can appear from across the border. Moreover, the gap in the front, to the south of Amvrosievka, also does not seem optimistic. In general, what is happening now is not yet an offensive with definite goals, but just a distracting raid in the rear of the enemy, which turned out to be an unpleasant surprise for the Junta. To be honest, very few people expected the fighting on the coast of the Sea of ​​Azov to start so soon. In general, the trend is favorable for us.IlovayskToday near Ilovaysk the Junta has continued its attempts "to break through the wall with its head", sending almost all of the combat-ready forces to attack Ilovajsk. The attack bogged down even before the Junta talking heads could declare that Ilovajsk has been taken once again. This is a very weird stubbornness, given that a more effective plan would involve encircling and taking Mospino, and the gaps in the front to the south of Amvrosievka. The strategic point of the attack is long gone; it is an attempt to reverse the situation with insufficient forces - because even if by some miracle the Junta takes the ruins of Ilovaysk and pushes out the Militia, it will not go beyond one tactical success against the backdrop of the bleak strategic situation.Saur-Mogila, Schachtersk and TorezFighting continued, with both sides largely staying on their positions. The Junta’s mechanized units tried to move towards Miner and Thorez, but didn’t make it far.Theoretically, these battles are good for the Militia, as the Junta spends reserves there quite aimlessly.  That has made the punitive battalions (volunteer units made up of activists/neo-nazis/released criminals) suspect that the Junta command deliberately drives the southern battlegroup into a meat grinder. (That is one version - that they are agents of the Kremlin - another, because that is how Poroshenko gets rid of radical elements). All in all, another week or so of such operations, and the Junta there will be in for a surprise.  Southern Encirclement 2.0 has held out so far, but the Junta losses and the Militia trophies there will be considerable - the Militia is currently attacking on Dyakovo and offering the surrounded forces the same conditions as before - retreat to Russia, leaving the vehicles to the Militia.DonetskIn the north of Donetsk the Junta seems absolutely exhausted, only pretending that the failed offensive is proceeding via the SRGs' forces and continuing shelling; whereas the self-defense Militia forces managed to start an offensive towards Uglegorsk which, although not yet taken, hardly looks like a springboard for the Junta's attack on Yenakievo anymore. The Militia will try to take it in the coming days to protect Gorlovka and Yenakievo and prevent the bisection Donetsk-Gorlovka battlegroup. In general, it is now possible to say conclusively that the attack on Donetsk has failed, and there is no direct threat to the city. And the enemy was not merely driven from Yasinovataya and back to Uglegorsk. In the area of ​​Zhdanovka there was another mini-encirclement, and the Junta salient in the area of Verhnyaya and Nizhnyaya Krynka has been wiped out, with the Militia taking captives and trophies. The front is gradually approaching Debalcevo, which is one of the priority objectives for the Militia.DebalcevoTo the north of Debalcevo, the self-defense forces delivered an unexpected blow to the Junta, towards the north-west, with the result that the forward units were able to move to the vicinity of Severodonetsk. There were overly optimistic statements that the Militia had been about to take back Severodonetsk and Lisichansk, but in fact, there is a lack of Militia forces there, and taking two major cities at once would be quite problematic, especially with the advance SRGs alone. The weakness of the Junta's forces in this area provides various options for offensive action - the fact is that most of the Junta battlegroup that took Lisichansk from the Militia were later moved to other areas - some units moved towards Debalcevo and Yasinovataya, some left for Schast’e and Stanitsa Luganskaya. As a result, the Militia found a weak spot and delivered a nasty blow that led to a breakthrough in the front. The main thing is that this breakthrough, and the raid of saboteur-reconnaisance groups by the coast, demonstrates that the operational depth of the enemy forces is not high. After breaking after through the enemy front in weak areas, the Militia is able to act in the operational vacuum, where the enemy has practically no reserves. But due to lack of strength, those nasty (for the Junta) breakouts have not yet led to decisive results. It is clear that if the Militia had dedicated 15-20 tanks, as many BMPs and 200-300 infantry to one of these gaps, then it would have taken the cities in the rear of the enemy. But for now the Militia do what they can.LuganskThe Junta offensive against Lugansk failed. The enemy has been driven off from Hryaschevatoe; they are still holding by Novosvetlovskaya, but this is a purely defensive action. The self-defense militia forces have already started an offensive against Lutugino and Chast’e. The loss of either one of these would be a complete disaster for the battlegroup besieging Lugansk, as it would be dissected into several parts; although some of it is actually in operational encirclement even now. Today, predictably, there was an attack from the south in the Volnuhino area, and as a result, there is a direct threat to Lutugino; there are already militia combat recon groups on the outskirts. The general meaning of combat here is that if the militia take back Lutugino, they will then be able to fully control the route Lugansk-Krasny Luch, which would greatly enhance the connectivity of Novorossiya’s territory and the coordination of its armed forces. In this regard, Lutugino and Debalcevo are the key nodes of the transport network in the region, and control over them is a part of the struggle for the operational initiative.In general, the situation, even though it is still difficult, is obviously improving. In a number of areas, the militia are now on the offensive, while the Junta offensive has petered out and stoped almost everywhere. Original article: Colonel Cassad
Map of Operations, August 10-25, 2014 – Created by Kot Ivanov and Anthony HartinTranslated by Daniel Mihailovitch
Edited by S. NaylorOfficial Briefing from the DPR, as of August 25, 2014, and CommentaryOriginal: Colonel Cassad LiveJournalFrom: Semen Semenchenko
(commander of the Ukrainian Donbass punitive battalion)
To: The Minister of Defense of Ukraine, Valeriy Geletey.To the ATO(Anti-Terrorist Operation)* command. Despite the numerous warnings about the situation that is currently unfolding in sector B, despite the information from yesterday and today about the tank breakthrough from sector D and also from the border with the Russian Federation, from the area of Mospino, the situation with regards to sending us additional units of the UAF(Ukraine Armed Forces) was never resolved. Currently it is necessary to stop the retreat of the units that up until now covered our rear. Those units that report to your HQ, from the area of Kuteynikovo-Starobeshevo, must return the artillery and to perform a massive counterattack into the area [of the breakthrough], and to use armored vehicles in this attack. You do have these forces. If this does not get done and the situation will continue to deteriorate. I reserve the right to interpret the lack of activity of the UAF leadership in the most negative light. If needed – you personally must stand with a pistol on the road and take control of the situation. Act, finally, act!P.s. Please forgive me. I cannot write what exactly is happening right now. You are not the only one reading this. Official DPR Briefing, as of August 25, 2014Original: DNR.TodayIn the course of the offensive operation, the militia forces have completely destroyed the government military base in Sedovo, and routed all the enemy checkpoints around Sedovo and Novoazovsk. There's an ongoing sweep of these two cities for remaining Junta forces. Taking control of Novoazovsk will open a direct road to Mariupol for the DPR army forces, and we plan to take this city in the near future.Fierce fighting is happening near the Svyato-Uspensky Nikolo-Vasilyevsky monastery (village Nikolskoye of Volnovaha district). In the settlement of Markino there is fighting against the entrenched militants of the punitive battalions "Dnieper-1" and "Donbass". The LPR militia conducted a recon by combat action on Lutugino. There is information that the town of Rodakovo has been taken [by our units].According to the data of the DPR Ministry of Defense HQ, the government forces lost 110 people KIA and 75 WIA fighting for Ilovaysk. 28 military vehicles were destroyed or disabled. By the morning of August 25th, yet another (third) battlegroup of the enemy was also fully encircled in the area of the settlements Stepanovka, Amvrosiyevka and Stepano-Krynka.The whole night militia forces were focused on narrowing the encirclement around the two blockaded Ukrainian battlegroups in the area of the settlements Voykovsky, Kuteynikovo, Blagodatnoye, Alekseevskoye, Uspenka, Ulyanovskoye, and also near the settlement of Yelenovka. According to the intelligence reports, in these encirclements there are more than 40 tanks, about 100 IFVs, APCs and airborne IFVs, 50 MLRS (Multiple Launch Rocket System) "Grad" and "Uragan" vehicles, and more than 60 field artillery and mortar pieces.As a result of a recon by combat action, detachments of the DPR army entered Yelenovka, destroying up to 8 tanks, up to 19 armored vehicles and a mortar battery. The enemy was pushed out of the two checkpoints on the road from Donetsk to this settlement (i.e. Yelenovka). Three prisoners were taken, three MT-12 anti-tank guns with ammunition, an MTLB APC with a ZU-23-2 mounted, and a GAZ-66.The militia launched offensives on two major cities - Severodonetsk in the northwest of Lugansk region, and Debaltsevo - in east of Donetsk region. The militia is concentrating considerable forces by Lisichansk and Severodonetsk, on the outskirts of which (Severodonetsk) the LPR militiamen have already occupied the villages of Belaya Gora and Borovskoe. Offensive continues on all fronts.PS. The last phrase is a joy to read. But, actually, the reports from the last 3-4 days are pleasant in every way. Having survived through the darkest days in mid-August, the militia managed to not only stop the advance of the junta, but to also launch a decisive counter-offensive with the goal of defeating the entire southern flank of the junta forces in Donbass. For now it is absolutely unclear when and with what forces will the junta try to break through to the surrounded forces south of Donetsk, and how control over their intercepted communications could be restored.About the Militia Counter-OffensiveOriginal: Colonel Cassad LiveJournal1. The situation has become precarious for the Junta in the area of ​​Novoazovsk and Mariupol. The Militia forces that penetrated from the north, and also those that moved along the border with the Russian Federation, created an operational crisis in the area of Novoazovsk, which in itself implies a threat to Mariupol. The panic on the Junta-aligned websites is not without foundation. As we mentioned earlier, there are very few combat-capable units there - a hodgepodge of police, punitive troops, border guards and air defense personnel, clearly not the forces you can repel a serious Militia offensive with.For now the Junta is saved by the fact that the Militia forces there are not so big and they are not achieving decisive results yet, although the threat has already become very serious. The thing is, that by taking advantage of the movement of Militia sabotage-reconnaissance-groups (SRGs) to the south of the captured "Uspenka" border checkpoint, the Militia also advanced along the border with Russia - which was cleared from the Junta border guards - creating a local superiority in a location that is critical for the Junta. This is the flip side of the Junta’s decision to stop fighting for the border, due to the heavy shelling of the Junta positions near the border by the Militia and "from the territory of the Russian Federation". Currently, the Junta faces a very unpleasant prospect - either it has to urgently find reserves for the new front that suddenly opened up, or else it risks losing Novoazovsk and may face a real threat of losing Mariupol. In general, this blow is very unpleasant for the Junta, and it is further complicated by the problems to the south of Donetsk.2. The gap in the front to the south of Amvrosievka, which the Junta recklessly didn't plug for a few days, led to a disaster as expected. Not only did the Militia use the gap to advance to Uspenka and Novoazovsk and to create a threat for Mariupol. Also, the Junta units that were drawn into the battle for Ilovaysk have spent their reserves, which resulted in a Militia advance onto those Junta battle groups’ communications and the threat of attacking Militia units taking Amvrosievka. An encirclement of a kind emerged, which is already the 3rd encirclement in the south. Although this one is more of a partial encirclement - the Militia intercepted a number of important roads to the south of the main forces of the Junta battle group, but there's no talk yet about a complete encirclement across all paths, because the Militia are actually encircling a larger force with a smaller one. In the next few days the Junta will try to break out of this critical encirclement, but if they fail to do this, then the first two southern cauldrons will be chump change compared to this one.3. The encirclement by Dyakovo is still not eliminated, the encircled forces were given standard terms - leave and be interned in Russia, handing over the vehicles and weapons – but their leadership refuses to accept those, for now. But overall, the elimination of that encirclement is just a matter of time and losses. Of course I would prefer for the Militia to get the vehicles.In general, what is happening is indeed a counter-offensive, albeit with insufficient forces. However, the blow was dealt at the time when the Junta just suffered a defeat of its offensive towards Donetsk, and this counteroffensive immediately triggered a serious operational crisis for the Junta. The very nature of the events in the Donbass is changing and now the argument is starting to shift from “will Novorossiya survive?” to “what consequences will there be of the Junta’s defeat in Donbass?”;  including the question of “what borders would be the starting point of negotiation?”. Perhaps the first diplomatic overtures will happen tomorrow in Minsk.A Short but Important UpdateOriginal: Colonel Cassad LiveJournal1. About Strelkov: The news is ahead of the event. He got an offer to move in and become a military adviser in the Krasnodon HQ, but he did not yet agree to this. Someone apparently has seen it fit to leak the info to the press. What were the goals of this leak, good or bad, is yet unclear.2. The Panic in Mariupol: As I wrote before, the threat on the outskirts of the city was multiplied by the confusion in the area, so when one of the Junta armored columns retreating from Novoazovsk was mistaken for Militia, this led to the hysteria of "DPR tanks are just about to roll into Mariupol!”Hence the traffic jams of civilians and Junta soldiers at the highway to Berdaynsk; people thought Mariupol would be taken today and in a panic rushed out of the city. Interestingly, when it came to running, the nationalist guard units easily outpaced the civilians, leaving just one punitive battalion and the remnants of police forces to defend Mariupol. This story is very significant in the sense that it clearly shows how panic sweeps the entire management system - from the lowest neo-Nazi of the "Azov" battalion to the Gauleiter (chief overseer – Ger.) of Mariupol. In reality, advance Militia groups are fighting on the outskirts of Mariupol, and Junta is reporting that they are about to create a reliable line of defense and stop Militia forces from entering Mariupol (Novoazovsk is already written off, apparently).3. South-west of Donetsk there is a gaping hole in the Junta frontline, with nothing available to close it. Most of the supply routes of the southern Junta battlegroup are intercepted by the Militia, or under fire and thus impassable. The Junta’s situation is rapidly deteriorating and can potentially develop into more than just another encirclement, with heavy losses - but a full-blown disaster with the collapse of the entire southern front of Junta forces in Donbass. In the next few days the Militiamen are expecting enemy reserves from the rest of Ukraine, which are now being hastily redeployed to reverse the effects of Militia breakthroughs. Given that the forces of Militia are not so large, heavy defensive battles against shock mechanized battle groups trying to break the encirclement are likely. As you can understand, there is no possibility of a continued assault on Donetsk anymore.Taking this into account, the defeat of the Junta to the south of Donetsk will have implications for other areas - the Militia forces are moving towards Debaltsevo and thinking about attacking Artemovsk and Konstantinovka. But as the main forces are occupied in other areas, any action there is mainly just to pin Junta forces in place.4. There is also this unverified information: In the Rostov region, there were a series of bizarre murders on the M4 highway. Unknown criminals lay out a strip with nails across the asphalt, and then shoot the drivers that come out to see what was the matter. They do not take the cars, or personal belongings of those killed. There were 3 or 4 such cases. There is a suspicion that there may be some Ukrainian Neo-Nazis at work. We are checking the information.Overall, we are seeing the war in the Donbass completely change direction, in real time. But the victory is not yet assured, and in the coming days, the Junta will do everything possible to turn this difficult situation in their favor.
The Southern Front Catastrophe – August 27, 2014Map of Operations, August 10-27, 2014 – Created by Kot Ivanov and Anthony Hartin Novorossiya Military Briefing – Novorossiya Shall Be!Original: Colonel Cassad LiveJournal
Translated from Russian by Daniel Mikhailovich / Edited by Gleb BazovWe are currently witnessing an epic and in its own way historic event. The Ukrainian regular army and the punitive battalions are suffering a catastrophic defeat to the south of Donetsk. Only a short time ago the Republics were in dire straits: the DPR was hanging only by a thin supply thread, which the Ukrainian army was attempting to sever near Shakhtersk and Krasnyi Luch; the summit of Saur-Mogila has been abandoned, and Bolotov's counteroffensive had failed to bring decisive victories.To many it seemed that the Militia forces were on the ropes and just about to break, which would have led to the collapse of Novorossiya and a military victory for the fascist Junta. Nevertheless, the Militia managed to withstand the most severe blow, which the Junta dealt with all the forces available to it in the first half of August. The Junta did not conceal its plans, and the preparations for the assaults on Shakhtersk and Lugansk were openly discussed. The bravura level of the Junta’s triumphant reports that came with each new breakthrough of its mechanized battle groups was off the charts.The first critical moment came when the soldiers of the 25th Airborne Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (“UAF”) and the units of the National Guard broke into Shakhtersk. In those days, the fate of the DPR was hanging literally by a thread, and the Junta was on the verge of a strategic victory. But those few militiamen that mired the Junta forces in urban battles and held their ground until the reinforcements arrived saved Novorossia from being dismembered into two parts. In subsequent battles, the Junta’s breakthrough was localized and defused, and, after sustaining heavy losses in personnel and military hardware, the Junta’s forces in this location were routed.The second critical moment came when a strike was made from Debaltsevo through Fashchevka, intended to converge with the 24th Mechanized Brigade that was breaking out of the Southern Cauldron. It was an ambitious plan, whereby the enemy tried to bisect Novorossiya by using as a strike group the units that everybody assumed had been written off. This joint strike on Miusinsk and Krasnyi Luch triggered a severe crisis in Novorossiya because were very few troops in this area.Miusinsk, which the mechanized convoys of the junta slipped through unhindered, was hardly defended at all, and in Krasnyi Luch some of the Cossacks abandoned their positions. This gave rise to a palpable threat of Novorossiya being split in two and of the militia grouping located in the area of Torez-Snezhnoye-Saur-Mogila being eliminated. But, once again, the courage of ordinary soldiers who clung to the towns of Krasnyi Luch and Miusinsk allowed the Militia units to hold out until the arrival of the reserves that aided in the purge of the enemy from these cities. Having overcome the crisis, here also the Militia was able to win decisive battles, which had far-reaching consequences.Because the offensive on Yasinovataya failed, the breakthrough to Verkhnyaya Krynka and Zhdanovka aimed at cutting off Gorlovka was liquidated, and the Junta failed to advance toward Yenakievo, in the second half of August the Junta’s offensive started to run out of steam and the Militia gradually began to gain offensive momentum.Objectively, the situation demanded that the Junta stop the offensive, regroup, pull up reserves, create stores of fuel and ammunition, and then continue the offensive by assembling new strike groups. Nevertheless, political considerations dictated a continuation of the offensive by the same depleted battle groups. Because the front in the LPR on the whole had stabilized, the South Cauldron was routed, and the offensive to the north of Donetsk had been stopped, the Junta continued its offensive in the south, trying to take Ilovaysk and Mospino head-on despite the serious operational risk. And as the more the Junta became embroiled in these battles, the narrower became the front of its offensive. Having begun in early August over a broad swath of the battlefront, already by August 20th the Junta’s offensive narrowed effectively to a single point.The outer limits of this offensive were the southern slopes of Saur-Mogila, the semi-encircled Mospino and the southern suburbs of Ilovaisk. In the last few days of the offensive, it was reduced simply to a primitive frontal assault on Ilovaisk. Meanwhile, a threat that later proved to be fatal was looming on the Junta’s southern flank. Having finished off the Southern Cauldron and after repelling the offensive on Miusinsk and Krasnyi Luch, the Militia recaptured Marinovka (which in July-August twice went back and forth between the factions) and started to seep along the border toward the Uspenka border-crossing checkpoint, in the process encircling the Amvrosievka grouping.It is difficult to say why the Junta did not react to this threat – it is possible that the Ukrainian command decided that the only danger in this area was the activity of the saboteur-reconnaissance groups (“SRG”), which, though unpleasant, carried no operational significance. Alternatively, they may have thought that they will manage to achieve success near Ilovaisk and then fend off the threat coming from the south. As a result, the Militia was able to accumulate a sufficient force to the south-east of Amvrosievka, and this force carried out a cleaving strike on the supply lines of the main forces of the Junta that were embroiled in the fighting near Ilovaisk, Mospino and Saur-Mogila. At the same time, the forces of the enemy advancinf from the south were met to the west of Mospino with a strike by a mechanized battle group of the Militia. The Junta did not expect this maneuver because until quite recently they were the ones trying to encircle Mospino from both sides.By the looks of it, the Junta’s intelligence missed this offensive entirely, and as a result of this oversight a comparatively small Militia force intercepted the main supply routes of the largest battle group of the Junta to the south of Donetsk. This grouping was comprised of the enemy’s most combat-capable units involved in the assaults on Mospino, Saur-Mogila and Ilovaisk, including the three punitive battalions – Azov, Shahtersk and Donbass-1, as well as the various reinforcement units and independent companies. More than 5,000 soldiers, approximately 180 various armoured vehicles, and up to 90 artillery pieces, mortars, and MLRS ended up being surrounded.Though the difference in scale makes a direct comparison impossible, the militia actually carried out a mini-“encirclement operation” similar to the Stalingrad Cauldron – a classic pincer strike in converging directions. While the Junta’s battle group had no Romanians or Italians on its flanks, but it did, instead, have a gaping hole on one side, and on the other side – barrier troops that were never meant to withstand an attack by mechanized units. As a result, in addition to the unfinished remnants of the Dyakovo Cauldron, the Amvrosiyevka Cauldron was created, around which the militia began to create a ring of encirclement, spreading its offensive to the south and to the south-west and in the process occupying settlements deep in the rear of the southern grouping of the Junta. At the same time, the enemy command structures rapidly disintegrated. Battalion Azov in essence refused to subordinate, and the majority of its troops fled to Mariupol. Battalions Donbass-1 and Shahtersk became mired in urban combat for Ilovaisk and, instead of breaking out of the cauldron, started to demand tanks and artillery from the military in order to continue their assault on the city, which by that time was pretty much a lost cause.Because only rearguard unites without heavy weapons remained outside the cauldron, the Militia immediately began to develop the offensive to the south-west of Amvrosievka, toward Starobeshevo, and took it by the evening of August 26th. Meanwhile, militiamen were already moving toward Volnovakha on August 25th. Effectively, the loss of these centres means that here the Junta does not have positions from which it can try to break through to the surrounded forces. The encircled troops, in essence, ended up deep in the rear, far away from the new front line, and with a limited supply of fuel and ammunition.And this new frontline is a gaping hole for the Junta, which has nothing to plug it with. The remnants of its forces, including Battalion Azov, fled to Mariupol, in the process abandoning several settlements virtually without a shot. As a result, the Militia rolled directly into the suburbs of Novoazovsk and onto the approaches to Mariupol. On the Junta’s side, there is virtually no front from the area south of Starobeshevo and up to Novoazovsk. The Milita’s lack of sufficient troops is the only thing slowing down the looming catastrophe.At the same time, the Militia also developed its offensive to the west of Mospino, toward Ugledar, Yelenovka, and Nikolskoye. Here the forces of the Junta are few in number, so the Militia’s offensive has been developing quite successfully, albeit not too rapidly. Near Yelenovka, yet another "mini-cauldron" has formed, and the connectivity of the Junta groups that held Donetsk in semi-encirclement has been irreparably compromised.The Junta has no reserves with which to relieve the encircled group and to patch the massive hole in the frontlines - they are now hastily withdrawing troops from Perekop (on the Crimean border) and bringing territorial battalions of questionable combat readiness to the front. They have also announced the 4th wave of mobilization and are trying quickly to drag ancient armoured vehicles from long-term storage to the frontlines, in order to compensate for the huge losses in personal and military hardware.
State Border of the Republic of Novorossiya
Overall, it still is not quite clear how the Junta intends to avoid a complete defeat here. It will clearly not be able to restore the previous frontline, and the only question is whether the surrounded troops will be able to break out (and as they will have to do so on their own, it is likely that they will have to make that decision as soon as possible), and where the Militia’s offensive will stop - they still have fairly limited forces and they are now routing a larger force with a smaller force.In the meantime, the once-solid front, which stretched from Marinovka to Yelenovka has now broken up into separate pockets of resistance with intercepted supply lines. After this disaster it became absolutely clear that the Junta does not have the capacity to destroy Novorossiya. By squandering the most combat-capable brigades in systematic offensive operations, the Junta sustained enormous losses and at the same time suffered a crushing, purely military defeat. The southern front has collapsed. Novorossiya shall exist!
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Confirmed: Ilovaisk has been liberated + open thread

THE VINEYARD OF THE SAKER - Wed, 08/27/2014 - 10:52
Dear friends,

I have a bad case of repetitive stress injury (RSI) due to too much keyboard and mouse use (even though I use an ergonomic keyboard and mouse).  I need to type less today, but I want to confirm that Ilovaisk, the city featured yesterday in this video, has been freed.

Now I must take the rest of the day off.

Open thread!

Cheers,

The Saker
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What is the deal with the Ukie "cauldrons"?

THE VINEYARD OF THE SAKER - Tue, 08/26/2014 - 18:22
A lot of people are wondering what the deal is with the so-called "cauldrons" in which the Ukie forces seem to get surrounded over and over again.  Are the Ukie generals simply stupid, or what is the deal?  I will try to explain.

Remember that that Ukie forces are typically "heavy".  They have lots of tanks, lots of artillery, lost of ammo, lots of soldiers, etc.  At least initially.  They are also much inferior in terms of tactical skills, morale and willpower.  In contrast, the Resistance forces have dramatically fewer tanks, fewer artillery pieces, much less ammo and less soldiers too.  But their morale is sky-high, their tactical skills excellent and they are fighting on their own land - a big "home turf" advantage.  Add to all this the following: the Ukies are desperately trying to prove to the world that they are "winning" whereas the Resistance is trying to eject an occupying force.  Now if you keep all that in mind, you will very easily understand how these "cauldrons" form.  It typically goes like this:

The political powers in Kiev order the commanders of the so-called "anti-terrorist operation" to show some results.  The latter get together and define what they consider a number of key towns and villages.  They then order their forces to go in and take these towns/villages.  The junta forces move in and with much superior firepower typically destroy a few Resistance roadblocks on the main roads and move to seize the said towns.  At this point they report "mission accomplished - our flag is on the administration of town X".  The BBC picks up the info handed to them by the Ukies and the world learns of yet another Ukie victory.    In the meantime, Ukie terror squads are brought in to smoke out any sympathizers of the Resistances in the occupied towns.  As for the tanks, they are used to protect the Ukie force while their artillery is used long range to terrorize the population of the next town on the list.

Then everything goes down the tubes.

First, a big forces requires lots of petroleum, lubricants, ammo, supplies, food, etc.  But the roads are under constant attack by Resistance forces.  Next, the Novorussians slowly but inevitably bring in some artillery which begins ponding on the Ukie forces.  Gradually, the bigger Ukie forces is forced to dig in while the Resistance take back full control of the main roads and surrounding towns.  That's it - the circle has closed, the Ukies are surrounded and a 'cauldron' has formed.

At that point two things happen: a) the Ukies try to retreat b) reinforcements are sent in to rescue them.  But at this point the density and quality of Resistance forces is sufficient to block the main roads and to prevent both retreats or reinforcements.  In some cases the Ukies succeed in breaking out or reinforcing, but typically at great costs in equipment and lives.  And that brings me to another important point:

The Ukies prefer to fight on the main roads.  The Resistance is at home in the forests, hills, fields and bushes (what the Russian military calls the "The Green").  That means that Ukie movements are very predictable.  Not so for the Resistance.  The Ukies fear the "Green" - the Novorussians love it.  I don't know of a single battle so far in which the Ukies attempted to attack through, or from. the "Green".  The Novorussians do that all the time.

Pretty soon, supplies become a real problem, and with more or less the entire Ukie Air Forces kaput, and the density of anti-air weapons of the Resistance, even large units go from a fighting mode to a survival mode.  At least 4 Ukie death squads are in that mode right now, today.

But remember, the Ukies sill have more armor and more firepower, so it is not that easy to reduce and crush a cauldron - that is why the Resistance needs so much time to eventually finish them off.  They do though, one by one.  If they had the time and forces, they could do it easily, but they don't.

Right now, the main forces protecting Mariupol are all stuck in 2-3 cauldrons southeast of Donetsk.  But instead of wasting time reducing them, the Novorussian Armed Forces have launched an attack along the sea coast towards Mariupol were the Ukies are already in a panic mode as nothing much stands between them and the Resistance.  And this is the correct move for the Novorussians.

Just as in chess a blocked figure is essentially useless, so is a Ukie force in a cauldron.  The important thing is to keep the initiative and press the advantage.  This is why the Resistance is pushing towards Mariupol.  If that city is taken, or even surrounded,  or if the cauldrons south of Donetsk are reduced, that will mean a collapse of the entire southern front of the Ukie attack on Novorussia.

There are risks however.  First, any Novorussian force moved in or towards Mariupol risks been cut off and surrounded by Ukie reinforcements.  Now, I don't know for a fact what the Ukies are up to, but I bet you that there is total panic in Kiev and that reinforcements are sent from all over the country to prevent Mariupol from falling into Novorussian hands.  The Novorussians need to keep a very careful eye over their shoulder (but then, I am pretty sure that the many GRU eyes in space and on the ground are already doing that for them).  Second, the surrounded Ukies can try to join forces and then either break out or attack towards the north.  If they fail, they will probably either do what they have done in the past - run for their lives and abandon all their heavy equipment or fight to the last man.  Either way is fine for the Novorussians.

I hope that the short (and somewhat simplified) explanation above explain, at least in general lines, why and how these "cauldrons" are constantly forming.

Cheers and kind regards,

The Saker
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Watershed press conference by top Novorussian officials - transcripts (UPDATED!)

THE VINEYARD OF THE SAKER - Tue, 08/26/2014 - 16:02
Dear friends,

Since many of you have asked for it - here is the transcript in 3 languages:

French
http://www.vineyardsaker.fr/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/20140824-press-conference-formation-of-as-state.fr.txt
German
http://www.vineyardsaker.fr/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/20140824-press-conference-formation-of-as-state.de.txt
English
http://www.vineyardsaker.fr/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/20140824-press-conference-formation-of-as-state.en.txt 

It would be very helpful if some of you could make transcripts in other languages.  If you do - please email me the link to the transcript, or send me the text, and I will post them here.

Many thanks and kind regards,

The Saker 

UPDATE1: here is the download link for the Italian text in three formats (ODT, RTF, HTML):

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0ByibNV3SiUooZVBDajQ3NUFuRU0/edit?usp=sharing

UPDATE2There is an important error in the translation: at 16:53, the subtitles say "we did not capture any regional administrations". They SHOULD say "we were not THE FIRST to capture any regional administrations"

UPDATE3: here is the download link for the Serbian text in TXT format:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0ByibNV3SiUooaU1aMUsxWlJOandFR3N0elhwTTFzTWhIVnlF/edit?usp=sharing

UPDATE4: CubuCoko has formatted both the English and the Serbian transcripts for ease of reading, fixed some minor spelling and grammar errors, and corrected for Update 2.

Serbian version is here, and the English version here

UPDATE5: The Portuguese translation is now available here:

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1igjcf2Un1SqMFtH23aWJ8oqOZnsxWZvZd9x_jRHW1AM/edit?usp=sharing 

UPDATE6: The Polish translation is now available here:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0ByibNV3SiUoocnhSOEltQlpiWWVZZExVLTMtbW1Ma1ZSOGRr/edit?usp=sharing

UPDATE7: The Spanish translation is now available here in ODT, TXT, RTF, HTML and PDF formats:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0ByibNV3SiUooM1c2Y2NGQ1FvQ0k/edit?usp=sharing
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August 26th combat SITREP by Juan + two very different maps :-)

THE VINEYARD OF THE SAKER - Tue, 08/26/2014 - 14:22
1. The situation has improved in Novorossiya but is still quite serious. The enemy still has an overwhelming advantage in hardware and men and in some instances shows they know how to use that preponderance.

2. As the Army of Novorossiya goes about it's task of freeing cities, towns and villages they are followed by what relief is available for the newly freed citizens. Also in the follow up are trained investigators who have been keeping detailed records and evidence of the depredations of the occupying forces. While the hanging tree will not be used, there is no doubt that some of the occupiers will be in prison for a long time.

3. The rumors of a large USA tank force in the Talakivka area are false.

4. The relief column of humanitarian aid sent to Lugansk City was welcome. It is of vast interest that USA and EU have warned RF not to do it again. Perhaps when the war is over some of those western political types should be brought to Novorossiya (preferably in chains) to explain to the citizens why they should be denied aid under the remorseless bombardments of the Ukeland army.

5. The new Cauldron in south central liberated territory of Novorossiya is being steadily reduced. The occupants have been given the choice of surrender themselves and their equipment or die. At the moment their commanders have chosen that they die. Of interest is the units trapped in the cauldron are the ones whose depredations against the innocent civilians are well documented as being the worst.

6. The rumors that Poroshenko will surrender today are false. He is still extolling his 'peace plan' of the Army of Novorossiya lays down their arms, gets investigated by Ukeland, anyone suspected of crimes against Ukeland will be imprisoned, and then he will negotiate.

7. The airfields in Donetsk City proper and Lugansk City proper have not been assaulted beyond bombardments as of 05:00 this morning. Both are honeycombed with underground service passageways and will be expensive in manpower to take by force. Perhaps the answer is to simply drive the Ukes underground, bring in truckloads of stone to seal all the exits but one and wait them out. The one exit will be their portal of surrender.

8. Mariupol was handed to the Ukes some months ago in a deal with Ahkmetov. It was to Mariupol that all the previous Uke administrations of Novorossiya fled at the beginning of the conflict with their underlings, many bringing their entire families and hangers on. The city was also the rear base of many of the oligarch's private 'battalions', a rest and replenish area thought to be totally secure. It has been known for months that there was no real security in the area for the Ukes, in other words the entire area was wide open. The attack south along the RF border then turning west along the coast toward Mariupol was a masterpiece of deception, tactics and strategy. The flight in panic of all the golden pheasants and their minions was and is epic. Their flight is spreading worry and in some instances panic as far away as Melitopol and Kerson to the south and Dnepropetrovsk to the northeast of Novorossiya.

9. Partizan activities are increasing in frequency and force in the Kharkov and Slavyansk areas to the point Kharkov is building defenses facing Novorossiya. Of particular interest was the capture two weeks ago of an entire Kamaz load of Javelin antitank missiles. These missiles were offloaded from the 'Canadian' air force planes that brought 'non lethal' aid to the Uke army according to eye witnesses. The Javelin is not listed in the TOE (Table of Organization and Equipment) of the armed forces of Canada, although I have few doubts that oversight will be rectified within minutes of this report being read in The West.

10. The entire Uke force of airworthy air assets has now been shot down one and a half times. To qualify that statement, one should remember that when Belbek Aerodrome north of Sevastopol was taken there were 5 airframes of 43 on base that were airworthy, one of which was a trainer. This is indicative of the condition of the entire Uke armed forces. The problem with this fact is where are the units coming from that are being used by the Ukes? The answer is Germany, Poland and Czech are still supplying the ukes with equipment and aircraft from their stocks of equipment left from 'the old days'. Those 3 countries are also supplying the ukes with T 72 main battle tanks in pristine condition and other AFV's. Most of the Uke T 72's were sold off and exported during the Yushenko/Tymoshenko regime. Reports of crews and maintenance personnel provided with the equipment are not 100% verified.

11. The persistent reports from Ukeland of RF columns of tanks and AFV's entering Ukeland are false as are the Uke statements of the destruction of these columns. There will be no entry of RF forces in to Novorossiya nor will there be an invasion of Ukeland by RF, wishful thinking be damned. If RF was to invade she would not send half a Rota of armor, she would send half a dozen tank armies.

12. The massive destruction of cities, towns and villages of Novorossiya is ongoing. Every day and every night the bombardments continue. Civilian areas are mainly the targets. The destruction has been carefully planned and executed. The damage is in the many billions of euros and will take years to repair. The loss of life and injuries to the innocent civilians well exceeds 5,000 since the beginning of the war in April. The time for negotiations with Ukeland are long gone. The war will end when every single occupier of Novorossiya land from Ukeland is either ejected, in a POW camp or dead. Fact. 

-------addendum from the Saker-------
Map of Operations, August 10-25, 2014 – Created by Kot Ivanov and Anthony Hartin


compare with BBC map:


Hilarious, no?

The Saker
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